Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.028201 0.030318 0.032447 0.034743 0.037149 0.039591 0.042256
2026-01-04 0.024277 0.027581 0.031023 0.034864 0.039019 0.043364 0.048242
2026-01-11 0.021557 0.025568 0.029864 0.034779 0.040221 0.046037 0.052694
2026-01-18 0.020044 0.024629 0.029650 0.035510 0.042117 0.049292 0.057630
2026-01-25 0.018322 0.023277 0.028817 0.035403 0.042950 0.051266 0.061056
2026-02-01 0.016899 0.022145 0.028125 0.035351 0.043755 0.053132 0.064296
2026-02-08 0.015621 0.021088 0.027433 0.035220 0.044399 0.054759 0.067220
2026-02-15 0.014486 0.020124 0.026783 0.035075 0.044971 0.056260 0.069966
2026-02-22 0.013520 0.019305 0.026253 0.035022 0.045610 0.057806 0.072738
2026-03-01 0.012493 0.018350 0.025503 0.034656 0.045834 0.058834 0.074882
2026-03-08 0.011370 0.017210 0.024468 0.033889 0.045532 0.059204 0.076223
2026-03-15 0.010404 0.016220 0.023576 0.033254 0.045350 0.059685 0.077666
2026-03-22 0.010035 0.016046 0.023760 0.034027 0.046978 0.062441 0.081961
2026-03-29 0.009384 0.015465 0.023406 0.034116 0.047772 0.064219 0.085131
2026-04-05 0.008719 0.014823 0.022938 0.034030 0.048326 0.065690 0.087925
2026-04-12 0.008413 0.014667 0.023100 0.034749 0.049890 0.068401 0.092235
2026-04-19 0.007832 0.014080 0.022651 0.034644 0.050385 0.069781 0.094913
2026-04-26 0.007315 0.013556 0.022262 0.034593 0.050933 0.071215 0.097652
2026-05-03 0.006812 0.013021 0.021831 0.034464 0.051362 0.072489 0.100189
2026-05-10 0.006341 0.012506 0.021405 0.034321 0.051756 0.073708 0.102653
2026-05-17 0.005931 0.012062 0.021059 0.034269 0.052256 0.075053 0.105272
2026-05-24 0.005460 0.011492 0.020506 0.033908 0.052329 0.075841 0.107184
2026-05-31 0.004917 0.010767 0.019692 0.033153 0.051850 0.075900 0.108159